AN EMPRICAL STUDY OF EXPORTS AND TAX TAKEN FROM IMPORTS OF EFFECT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE CASE OF TURKEY 2004-2016

Abstract

There have been many studies in the national / international field regarding whether there is a relationship between export and growth. According to the importance of the country and the period ended and the relationship between exports and economic growth for the change gösterebilmektedir.türki investigate the existence of a relationship between economic growth and exports between the years 2004-2016, this study amaçlarındandır.öt the other hand taxes are applied under various names for import and export operations in our country. The vast majority of applied taxes are also concentrated in import activities. For this reason, another aim of this study is to examine the effects of imported taxes on our economy. Today, imports and exports are of great importance for us. Implicit developments such as the magnitude of the positive contributions made by import VAT to public goods are indicative of the main point of this work. In general, Between the years 2004-2016 were analyzed whether there is an impact on exports and economic growth of taxes on imports in Turkey. primarily in our study were obtained from the official website of Turkey TUIK data for the years 2004-2016. Then the stability of the data was examined. If the conditional probability distributions of the stochastic processes do not change over time, they are called the stationary series. A linear regression model was established and the assumptions required to perform the prediction by the EKL method were analyzed. The results of the analyzes made are; The assumptions of the Jargue-Bera Normality test, the Heteroskedasticitywhite test, the unrelated assumption of error terms (autocorrelation test), and the Multilinear correlation analysis (Variance Infraction Factors, VIF) are provided and the results of these assumptions are tabulated and analyzed. After assumption of all assumptions, a linear regression model was established and the results are given in table 5. . According to the results; The R-squared value of 0.88 appears to indicate that the independent variables can account for 88% of the dependent variance and that the explanatory power is high. The result of the probe (F-statistic) is smaller than the critical value of 0.05, indicating that the model is meaningful as a whole. Empirical results show that the taxes on exports and imports have a positive and statistically significant effect on economic growth. This is the result of policies aimed at increasing exports and increasing taxes on imports shows that boost growth in Turkey